Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003451 0.003848 0.004262 0.004725 0.005227 0.005754 0.006348
2024-10-20 0.002743 0.003290 0.003892 0.004600 0.005408 0.006296 0.007343
2024-10-27 0.002356 0.002982 0.003700 0.004577 0.005611 0.006785 0.008211
2024-11-03 0.002043 0.002712 0.003506 0.004507 0.005723 0.007140 0.008902
2024-11-10 0.001822 0.002524 0.003382 0.004495 0.005880 0.007531 0.009628
2024-11-17 0.001626 0.002345 0.003250 0.004453 0.005985 0.007849 0.010258
2024-11-24 0.001522 0.002272 0.003241 0.004557 0.006267 0.008381 0.011155
2024-12-01 0.001347 0.002089 0.003075 0.004444 0.006260 0.008544 0.011589
2024-12-08 0.001234 0.001980 0.002996 0.004438 0.006383 0.008868 0.012226
2024-12-15 0.001191 0.001967 0.003045 0.004600 0.006730 0.009484 0.013245
2024-12-22 0.001120 0.001907 0.003023 0.004662 0.006939 0.009921 0.014040
2024-12-29 0.001078 0.001886 0.003054 0.004795 0.007247 0.010492 0.015017
2025-01-05 0.001041 0.001872 0.003096 0.004949 0.007593 0.011129 0.016105
2025-01-12 0.000929 0.001732 0.002945 0.004819 0.007536 0.011223 0.016472
2025-01-19 0.000855 0.001648 0.002871 0.004794 0.007625 0.011511 0.017101
2025-01-26 0.000777 0.001549 0.002769 0.004722 0.007640 0.011695 0.017588
2025-02-02 0.000719 0.001481 0.002709 0.004709 0.007738 0.011993 0.018234
2025-02-09 0.000660 0.001405 0.002633 0.004666 0.007787 0.012220 0.018782
2025-02-16 0.000637 0.001390 0.002654 0.004774 0.008063 0.012774 0.019796
2025-02-23 0.000572 0.001295 0.002536 0.004657 0.007995 0.012831 0.020108
2025-03-02 0.000532 0.001243 0.002489 0.004650 0.008092 0.013125 0.020760
2025-03-09 0.000526 0.001255 0.002550 0.004819 0.008463 0.013826 0.022003
2025-03-16 0.000502 0.001230 0.002547 0.004883 0.008670 0.014289 0.022910